Every year at this time (actually, we can’t recall ever doing it before), we hand out our grades for the NFL draft.
Coincidentally, every team gets the same grade: Incomplete.
Though we’re as intrigued as anyone by the pinnacle of the NFL’s offseason effort to sell hope to the fans of 32 franchises, there’s simply no way of knowing whether any team has done a good job or a bad job until the players get onto the field and practice and play against grown men who represent the best of the best from the past decade of 120-plus college programs pumping players into the NFL.
There’s no way of knowing for sure who will or won’t succeed at the next level until they enter the arena at the next level and show what they can do. If anyone knew for sure, the future Hall of Famers would always be the first few guys taken. Next would come the players who’ll make it to four or five Pro Bowls. Then the consistent starters. And so on down the line until the final few picks are used on guys who’ll get a Rudy-style cameo at some point, if they’re lucky.
And even if a guy has Hall of Fame talent, the X factor is whether any of those guys with Hall of Fame potential will change once the pursuit of money is no longer a factor in their lives.
What we should be doing the Monday after every draft is peering a few years into the rear-view mirror and handing out grades for past draft classes. But such an exercise would conflict with the selling of hope. And so in lieu of exposing the fat old man behind the curtain, we’ll instead marvel at this class of picks like they’re a fang-mouthed disembodied head flanked by KISS-style flash pots.
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April 28th, 2008 at 9:53 am
Sounds great. So, why don’t you grade the 2005 draft class? I’d be curious to know your thoughts.
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April 28th, 2008 at 9:54 am
Dig it brother! As I call it, the crapshoot.
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April 28th, 2008 at 9:55 am
I concur, completely.
(Sorry for the lengthy reply)
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:03 am
Amen. Some of these idiots still do it, trying to say ‘based on current value’ meaning if that particular grader thinks “well they could have gotten him a round later” . Which is complete BS because said grader cannot possibly be sure how long the guy would have lasted.
Even trying to say basing it on team needs is seriously flawed. What good does it do to draft the next David Carr high in RD 1 just because you have a need at QB?
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:12 am
Typo narrowly avoided on “fang”
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:15 am
Haha I love it-
Just a few weeks ago ESPN did a “redraft” of 2005 and all it did was show how inaccurate the grades can be.
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:28 am
I think the Dolphins should get an Incomplete Plus, for having the first pick locked down to a contract before the draft started, and a contract that was below the value of last year’s number 1 pick.
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:39 am
“What we should be doing the Monday after every draft is peering a few years into the rear-view mirror and handing out grades for past draft classes. But such an exercise would conflict with the selling of hope.”
What’s hope got to do with 3 year-old draft results? Man up and hand out the grades for 2005!
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April 28th, 2008 at 10:44 am
decent point on Miami, but, they lose that plus for drafting Henne. He will suck. The best they can hope for out of him is that just the fact that they drafted him motivates Beck to play well and win the job in camp.
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April 28th, 2008 at 11:39 am
Actually, Long will be making .17 Million dollars more than Russell per year…
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April 28th, 2008 at 12:04 pm
Wow, what a worthless article. This would be a lot more worthwhile if it were followed by:
So for the next few weeks we will grade each team’s 2005 draft, starting with the 49ers. We want to do one per day, but we all know how that goes.
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April 28th, 2008 at 12:06 pm
My advice - go ahead and grade the draft. It won’t be any more accurate then your mock draft(s) but still provides interesting reading during the off season.
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April 28th, 2008 at 12:18 pm
All of the talking head experts grade the draft based on their own pre-draft evaluations. How can anyone take stock in what the TV people have to say, if they could really evaluate potential draftees they would be working for a team, not yapping on TV.
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April 28th, 2008 at 1:34 pm
like dsportsnut said, go ahead and grade it. we all know it’s (mainly) bull, but it’s still fun to grade. after all, people still disagree on how good a player was AFTER his career was over (favre, anyone?), so it will be an argument either way, but still fun to argue. besides, can’t we all agree on some things, like the chiefs actually did pretty well and the rams actually kinda tanked (especially if the rumors about New ORleans offering a boatload of picks were true)
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April 28th, 2008 at 3:40 pm
How can you grade a draft, let alone say the Rams tanked? Not one of these players has played a down in the NFL. Go back to when Ryan Leaf was drafted. Look at what the Chargers grade was for that draft. Everyone praised them for taking Leaf. Mel Kiper probably even said that “Ryan Leaf has a strong arm, great accuracy and good attitude.”
You cannot grade/evaluate a draft until after several years. you have to let the later round picks develop and then look back at who is still on the team and how they are performing.
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April 28th, 2008 at 4:33 pm
I do not get it. People say handing out draft grades today is stupid because you don’t know how good a draft pick is for 3 years. Obviously, a draft grade today is the final word. Time will reveal how good any selection really is.
Based on the information available at the time, you are grading is how good of a job that a team did on that day.
Did they make smart trades?
Was picking a turd in the 2nd round a good idea?
The Raiders already have a pile of RBs. Was MacFadden a smart pick?
Obviously, we are speculating. We are sports fans. We speculate all the time.
No one says, “No point in talking about The Pats beating the The Giants in The Superbowl. We won’t really know until after the game.”
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April 28th, 2008 at 9:41 pm
Copout!
I’d like the minute of my life back that it took to read that worthless “article.”
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