Here’s a look at the perceived draft needs of the New England Patriots, with heavy input from Matt Miller and David Gardner of NewEraScouting.com.
Cornerback: The loss of Asante Samuel puts a strain on the entire Patriots’ defense. Samuel had become one of the best corners in the league at creating turnovers. With Samuel gone, the Pats will rely on Ellis Hobbs, Jason Webster, Fernando Bryant, and possibly Brandon Meriweather, if he isn’t shifted to safety. Hobbs is a solid starter, but he’s not an elite shut-down player whom a team can trust on an island. Meriweather has some play-making skills, but he would be learning the cornerback position on the fly.
With the seventh overall selection in the first round, New England can target the best corners in the draft. Troy’s Leodis McKelvin would be a great fit, and he’s also a very dangerous return man. Should McKelvin not make it to the Patriots, they will have their pick of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, a very athletic cover man, and Mike Jenkins, a solid man-to-man cover corner.
Safety: Rodney Harrison is a sure bet to miss a few games each season, either via injury or suspension. He is also nearing the end of a brilliant career. Should Meriweather move to corner permanently, this becomes an immediate need for the Patriots. Tank Williams was brought in as a free agent, but he isn’t expected to shore up any weaknesses in the starting secondary. James Sanders is a potential starter, but we’ve yet to see consistency from him in coverage.
With their second-round pick, some of the best safeties in the class will likely still be on the board. There’s a great chance that junior DaJuan Moran (NC State) will be available. Morgan is a true free safety who could fill the void left when Eugene Wilson was allowed to leave in free agency. There’s also word that the staff likes Notre Dame’s Tom Zbikowski, a hard-nosed, in-the-box-type of strong safety.
Outside linebacker: Rosevelt Colvin is gone, leaving the team the aging veteran Mike Vrabel and the unproven Pierre Woods (and Junior Seau, if he returns for another year). Should Woods prove that he can be a starter on the outside, the Patriots will still need to rely on the draft in order to eventually replace Vrabel. There’s also a possibility that Adalius Thomas can move back to the outside after playing primarily in the middle last season.
Ohio State’s Vernon Gholston could be the answer with the seventh overall pick, if Gholston is still on the board. Other players who could fit the Patriots defense at the outside linebacker position are Derrick Harvey (Florida), Quentin Groves (Auburn) and Shawn Crable (Michigan).
Insider linebacker: Just as they look for ends to move to outside ‘backer, New England likes to move college outside linebackers inside. Look for New England to add at least two players here. We’ve seen reports of the team liking Xavier Adibi (Virginia Tech), Beau Bell (Nevada), and Phillip Wheeler (Georgia Tech). All are possible second-round picks.
Guard: The Patriots’ playoff run was hurt by injuries on the offensive line and a lack of consistency in the backup positions. Adding talented guards who can possibly slide to tackle in a pinch fits the New England philosophy of maximizing a player’s value. Jordan Grimes of Purdue and Andrew Crummey of Maryland are examples of players at whom New England might take a look at in rounds three through five.
Defensive line: In their 3-4 attachment, New England has come to depend heavily on their three first-round picks along the defensive line. Adding depth would be a good idea; behind the trio of Richard Seymour, Vince Wilfork, and Ty Warren; New England is quite thin on the line. Jarvis Green hasn’t been the pass rusher most hoped, and Mike Wright is a role player only. Le Kevin Smith has potential, but he’s very young and very raw.
Eric Foster (Rutgers) is an ideal player for the 3-4, with his ability to play end and possibly tackle. We also like Derek Lokey (Texas) as a late-round prospect.
Running back: Laurence Maroney has very little experience being the number one back in an offense, and he’s also susceptible to injury. Kevin Faulk has been a key figure in the Patriots dynasty, but his career is nearing its end. Given the depth of the position this time around, adding a capable runner in the middle rounds of the draft will help to take pressure off Maroney and stress off the offense. We like Tulane’s Matt Forte and Ray Rice of Rutgers as possibilities for the Pats
Tight end: Ben Watons is recovering from an ankle injury and Kyle Brady got dumped. They need help at the position, especially if Watson’s ankle doesn’t cooperate.
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April 6th, 2008 at 10:46 pm
Why won’t Sammy Morris take pressure off Maroney? They were pretty much sharing the load until Morris got hurt.
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Rating: 4.2 / 5 with 5 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 6:17 am
I don’t understand why you didnt put the QB position as a draft need. This Tom Brady guy is unproven and not really panning out.
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Rating: 3.85 / 5 with 7 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 10:44 am
Mike,
James Sanders was the starter last year at FS starting around Week 2. I do agree that he has been spotty im coverage. Moving Meriweather to corner is a bad idea. They tried playing him at both corner and safety last year and he didn’t come around until he was only subbing in at Safety.
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Rating: 1 / 5 with 2 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 11:57 am
What about cameraman? The loss of Matt Walsh really has to hurt them. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Pats had a scout or two visiting UCLA’s highly touted film program.
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Rating: 2.6 / 5 with 5 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 12:07 pm
Eugene Wilson lost his starting job to James Sanders very early in the season last year. Sanders was steady although unspectacular. The Patriots made NO effort to re-sign Wilson, and basically told him to look elsewhere because his services were no longer wanted. No loss there.
You have also overlooked two key players who should be returning from injury. Dave Thomas should play a key role as a receiving tight end, and Sammy Morris was VERY impressive at running back before hurting his collar bone. He should end up splitting time with Maroney and Faulk.
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Rating: 5 / 5 with 3 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 12:37 pm
In all honesty, tackle should be added in there. Kaczur might be better off inside and Light is aging.
Btw, the injury to Neal potentially exacerbates the OL need.
As for DL, it might rate higher on the charts. Seymour’s really fallen the last couple of years, and both Seymour and Green’s contract are up in two years.
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Rating: 4 / 5 with 2 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 1:06 pm
Jarvis Green hasn’t panned out as a passrusher? He’s had 14 sacks in the last 2 years as a situational end in a 3-4 defense in which ends are meant to tie up tackles for the OLB’s to run free. I think he’s been as productive as you can get for a backup.
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Rating: 5 / 5 with 3 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 1:15 pm
Kazcur sucks, plain and simple. And Light’s contract is coming to it’s end.
LB is such a need, I think they can get away without adding a DL this time around. DB OL and LB is what should be concentrated on, and I wouldn’t be upset if they added a mid to late round pick at RB.
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April 7th, 2008 at 1:16 pm
Oh, and Matt Walsh was fired after 2003. Plus they couldn’t have cheated last year and still won 18 games. If you’re gonna talk smack at least get your facts correct.
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April 7th, 2008 at 2:13 pm
Well, let’s see. The Pats had 46 sacks last year. Not tops in the league, but not awful either. 28 of those sacks came from that aged LB corps (12.5 from Vrabel). Jarvis Green had 6.5 sacks. Seymour’s production was down, but he only played 9 games and was still not 100% for several of those. And he pretty much made his career average stats in 2006 and 2005. Colvin’s performance, however, was down even before he got hurt.
Meanwhile, those same LBs snagged 6 of the Pats’ 19 INTs. That’s seems like a somewhat low total number of picks relative to the number of sacks and the numbers were roughly the same in 2006, so one wonders how effective the secondary really has been all along. Perhaps a shake-up was coming anyway. And, of course, now Dom Capers is the secondary coach and has already been allowed to bring in three FAs who played for him elsewhere.
Definitely, the O-line (good as it’s been) is seeming a bit thin, especially if Neal’s injury has lasting effects. Also, TE also seems a need since both Watson and Thomas are coming off injuries/surgery and Spach is an unknown (and Brady is gone).
But the question is, do you try to cure the problems in the secondary by taking one high-end DB with the #7? Or do you get a DE/OLB pass-rusher who can add to the already decent pressure on opposing QBs AND take some pressure off a rebuilding secondary at the same time? With so much depth at DB in this draft, it seems to me the Pats go with the DE/OLB with the #7 and take a DB or even O-lineman at #62, Brad Cottam at #69 (he fits the Pats’ TE mold best) and then backfill the remaining needs with the later picks.
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April 7th, 2008 at 2:13 pm
Cornerback is a need without a doubt. However, I don’t see the Patriots using the #7th pick reaching for a corner as so many are suggesting. The pick requires upwards of 15 million guarenteed to an unproven player. If, the Patriots were unwilling to pay Samuel, a proven pro-bowl player/shut down corner entering the prime of his career, why would they pay a rook all that money? Doesn’t make sense. If they can’t get Gholston at #7, they will trade down for more picks. Harvey OLB from Florida or Jenkins CB, USF in the second half of the first round would be a better fit financially for them. Merriweather and Bryant will lock horns to replace Samuel. PS I forsee Matt Walsh never speaking because he doesn’t have anything in the first place. Great joke though. I laughed.
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April 7th, 2008 at 2:39 pm
I’m still holding out hope the Pats will lose at least their first round pick and their cheating coach for at least one year. Face it, with the taping that Belicheat has already admitted to, all their super bowl victories will forever be tainted. Didn’t understand the rule? PLEASE! Loss to Giants this year was pure karma.
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Rating: 1.8 / 5 with 5 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 3:41 pm
I suspect a lot of teams will try and trade down. I would imagine the Patriots will be one of those teams, but I don’t know how much value they can get out of the pick unless the Patriots draft and trade that player that they know someone else wants, as oppose to just trading the pick itself.
I would also think that teams will learn from the history of other teams that have traded up in recent years. It seems as though most teams are far better off trading down as opposed to trading up.
As for the Patriots pick? If they hold on to the pick, I suspect they will draft a linebacker.
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Rating: 2 / 5 with 1 rating(s)
April 7th, 2008 at 5:45 pm
Best case scenario: McFadden is still on the board at #7 and Dallas trades both of their first rounders for it. We then proceed to draft a corner and an inside linebacker.
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April 7th, 2008 at 8:04 pm
Radneck, get your head out of your ass. Every team cheats to a certain level. If you don’t believe that, I have some Florida swampland you can invest in. It comes with a bridge.
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Rating: 1 / 5 with 1 rating(s)
April 8th, 2008 at 9:51 am
Does any Patriot hater know the difference between breaking the rules and cheating? Breaking the rules- face mask, clipping, off sides, taping signals……all punishable offences!!!!! Cheating- stealing play books..illegal clock timing.. There seems to be a very small area to cheat, in Professional sports!!!!!
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April 10th, 2008 at 2:12 am
Really think that LB should be the first thing addressed by the Patriots. They have below average speed at that position, and I think getting a fast, athletic ‘backer would make their delayed blitz packages effective again. (Which they weren’t at the end of last year.) I also think that could help take some pressure of the secondary, which always manages to perform. The LB’s were the heart-and-soul of their dynasty. Time to restock.
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April 10th, 2008 at 6:16 pm
If/when Gholston is off the board at 7 we should try to trade the pick for Lito + 19. We would then get a young(27)corner under contract through 2011, and still be able to fill a need at 19 (Harvey, Groves, Mayo, OL) for much less money. PHI could dump Lito’s $5m/yr, and get first round value for him. They could then get a top OT, their choice of WR, or Keith Rivers. Under the Florio chart (845-560), Lito would be worth 285, which falls between 32 and 33. Under the JJ chart it would be about pick 30.
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April 10th, 2008 at 11:34 pm
I must say I feel sorry for you Patriot fans after reading all the rationalizations in your e-mails. It would really suck to be a fan of a team that had to resort to CHEATING to win three recent Super Bowls. What are you going to do with all your Tom Brady jerseys and such? You know, I bet all the povery ridden people in Central America and Africa would appreciate them. They could add them to their “19 and 0″ T-shirts they already have. BAA HA HA HA HA!!!
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April 15th, 2008 at 5:20 pm
Possible scenario?- Trade #7 to Saints so they can get Ellis (or Dorsey if he’s there)before the Bengals do. In return get #10 + 3rd. At 10, trade. Eagles trade up to get Devin Thomas, the projected best receiver in the draft, before the Bills draft him at 11 (maybe; I’d wait until round 2 for WR). Trade #10 and Pats 3rd, get #19 and Lito. At 19 take best LB or OL available. If Harvey is on the board at 16, 17 maybe trade back up before the Vikings grab him.
*If they stay at 19 they would get Lito, a cheaper first rounder, and move up 15-20 picks in round 3 for a big money pick that they probably don’t want.
*If Gholston is there at 7(he won’t be), draft him.
*If Ryan is on the board at 7, they will probably get better offers than the Saints will give.
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